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The Most Expensive Financial Decision Isn't Making a Bad Investment - It's Waiting

  • Nicholas Rundle
  • Jul 8
  • 3 min read

When people think about investing, they often worry about making the wrong decision.


"What if I invest just before the market falls?"

"What if I choose the wrong investment?"

"Maybe I'll wait until things settle down."


While these concerns are understandable, history suggests that the greatest cost to many investors isn't making a poor investment - it's never getting started.


The Cost of Waiting

Imagine two investors.


Both plan to invest $50,000 into a diversified portfolio earning an average return of 8% per year.


Sarah invests today at age 30.


James decides to wait until age 40 because he wants to feel more confident about the market.


By age 65:

  • Sarah's investment has grown to approximately $739,000.

  • James' investment has grown to approximately $367,000.


James didn't lose money.


He simply lost 10 years of compounding.


That decision cost him more than $370,000.


Not because he made a bad investment.


Because he waited.


Why Time Beats Timing

Successful investing isn't about predicting the perfect moment.


It's about allowing your money enough time to grow.


Albert Einstein is often credited with calling compound interest the eighth wonder of the world. Whether or not he actually said it, the principle remains true: your investment returns begin generating returns of their own.


In the early years, growth can seem slow. But over time the effect becomes exponential.


That's why investors who start earlier often finish with significantly more wealth than those who invest larger amounts later in life.


Inflation Is Quietly Working Against You

Many people feel comfortable leaving large amounts of money in the bank because it feels "safe."


But there's another risk that often goes unnoticed—inflation. If inflation averages around 3% per year, the purchasing power of your money gradually declines.


That means:

  • $100,000 today may only have the buying power of around $74,000 in ten years.

  • In twenty years, its purchasing power could be closer to $55,000.


While cash has an important role for emergencies and short-term goals, holding excessive amounts for long periods can quietly erode your wealth.


The Opportunity Cost Nobody Sees

Opportunity cost is one of the most expensive financial concepts because you never receive a bill for it.


Imagine leaving $200,000 sitting in cash earning 3% instead of investing it over the next decade.


If a diversified investment portfolio achieved an average return of 8% per annum over the same period, the difference could exceed $150,000.


Nothing appears to have gone wrong, yet your future wealth has been significantly reduced simply because your money wasn't working as hard as it could have. In fact, the ASX has an average annual return of 13% and more importantly, 81% of years see positive growth.

Year by ranked by size of return
Year by ranked by size of return

Waiting for the "Perfect Time"

We hear a lot reasons as to why people haven't started investing. These include:

  • Markets feel expensive,

  • Interest rates are changing,

  • The economy looks uncertain, and my favourite

  • Uncertainty.


But here's the reality:

There has never been a period where markets felt completely certain, I mean when were we ever certain about what would happen in the future, it's just not possible and yet 81 years have seen positive growth despite that uncertainty.

Investors have lived through the Global Financial Crisis, COVID-19, inflation, wars, recessions and political uncertainty and still, 81 years have seen positive returns.


Despite this, long-term investors who remained disciplined have generally been rewarded over time. If you are waiting for certainty you're probably waiting forever.


The Bottom Line

Investing will always involve risk.


But so does doing nothing.


Every year spent waiting is one less year your money has to compound, one more year inflation erodes purchasing power, and one more year of missed opportunity. The goal isn't to find the perfect day to invest.


The goal should be to develop a strategy that aligns with your goals, your time horizon and your tolerance for risk—and then give that strategy time to work.


Because when it comes to building long-term wealth, time in the market has consistently proven to be more valuable than trying to time the market.

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